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12 May 2025 : Indian Express Editorial Analysis

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1. A Fragile Calm

Table of Contents

(Source: Page 8, The Indian Express)

Topic: GS2: India and Its Neighbourhood, GS3: Internal Security
Context
  • The editorial by Pratap Bhanu Mehta reflects on the recent ceasefire between India and Pakistan following the Pahalgam terror attacks and Operation Sindoor. It analyzes the limitations of military deterrence and stresses the inevitability of political engagement in the subcontinent.

Background

  • Operation Sindoor marked India’s strong cross-border military response after the Pahalgam terror attack. A temporary ceasefire was later announced by both India and Pakistan. While this may bring short-term stability, the structural roots of conflict in the subcontinent remain unresolved, demanding a deeper political strategy.

Limits of Deterrence

  • While military action reasserts sovereignty, it has limited capacity to resolve underlying political conflicts

  • Deterrence is only credible if backed by consistent political will and long-term vision.

Pakistan’s Internal Challenge

  • Political instability and radical ideological shifts limit Pakistan’s ability to manage conflict resolution.

  • Even if weakened militarily, the state continues to use proxy warfare due to structural incentives.

India’s Strategic Dilemma

  • India must avoid reducing its Pakistan policy to only coercive retaliation.

  • Repeating tactical strikes without broader strategic engagement will only entrench the conflict cycle.

Way Forward

  • Push for a calibrated mix of military preparedness and political clarity.

  • Prepare for diplomatic windows while maintaining strong deterrence.
  • Avoid militarizing the entire bilateral relationship and focus on regional stability.
Practice Question: In the context of the recent ceasefire, analyze the limitations of deterrence as a long-term strategy in India-Pakistan relations. What steps should India take to convert tactical victories into strategic stability? (GS2 – 15 Marks – 250 Words)


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