Tariff wars and a reshaping of AI global landscape

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(Source: Page 10, The Hindu)

Topic: GS Paper 3 (Science and Tech, Economy, International Trade)
Context
  • U.S.-China trade tensions and high tariffs on AI-related hardware have begun altering global tech supply chains, with India emerging as a potential alternative.

Impact of Tariffs on AI Supply Chains

  • U.S. tariffs as high as 27% on critical AI hardware components.

  • Risk of U.S. becoming an expensive AI development hub, pushing firms abroad.

  • Disruption of innovation cycles and supply chains.

Global AI Realignment

  • Tariff policies causing “capital substitution” – shift towards efficiency in algorithms over hardware.

  • Rise in custom AI chips (ASICs) predicted by 2028.

India’s Strategic Position

  • India positioned as a “third option” in the U.S.-China tech rivalry.

  • Strengths: Skilled workforce, growing semiconductor sector, favourable regulations.

Challenges for India

  • Heavy dependence on imports for AI hardware.

  • Need for investment in domestic fab and R&D.

Way Forward

  • Continue AI-specific infrastructure development.

  • Build resilient and globally integrated AI manufacturing capacity.

  • Leverage regulatory flexibility and data advantage to attract global AI firms.


Practice Question:

How are trade protectionism and tariff wars reshaping global AI supply chains? Discuss the implications and opportunities for India in this evolving landscape

GS3 – 250 Words (15 Marks)

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