IMD forecasts surplus rainfall, augurs well for farm output

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(Source: The Indian Express, Editorial Page)

Also Read: The Indian Express Editorial Analysis: 11 June 2025
Also Read: The Hindu Editorial Analysis: 10 June 2025

Topic: GS Paper 3 – Economy (Agriculture), GS Paper 1 – Geography (Climatology)
Context
  • The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has predicted a 106% surplus rainfall for the 2025 southwest monsoon, due to La Niña conditions.

Key Points:

  • Above-normal monsoon expected, crucial for Kharif crop planning, especially in rain-fed regions.

  • Positive outlook attributed to developing La Niña conditions in the Pacific Ocean.

  • Rainfall will boost agriculture, rural demand, and economic growth.

  • Addresses current concerns of food inflation and pulse shortages.

Importance:

  • 60% of India’s agriculture is monsoon-dependent.

  • Better rainfall helps restore reservoir levels, boosts hydroelectricity, and supports rural employment (via MGNREGA and farm work).

Concerns:

  • Uneven rainfall distribution can still cause floods/droughts regionally.

  • Need for efficient water management and flood forecasting systems.

Way Forward:

  • Advance crop advisories and seed distribution.

  • Encourage crop insurance and soil-moisture mapping.

  • Prepare state-wise contingency plans.

Practice Question: Monsoons continue to be a vital determinant of India’s agricultural and economic performance. Evaluate the impact of changing monsoon patterns and suggest adaptive strategies. (15 marks, 250 words)

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