Sound and Fury

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(Source: Page 8, The Indian Express)

Topic: GS1: Indian Physical Geography (Monsoons); GS3: Disaster Management, Climate Adaptation
Context
  • The southwest monsoon arrived early in Kerala and Mumbai, marking a significant deviation from its usual schedule. This premature onset — fueled by unusual pre-cyclonic activity — exposes the weaknesses in India’s climate preparedness, especially in urban areas prone to flooding.

Early Monsoon Onset: An Emerging Pattern

  • Monsoon hit Mumbai in May 2025, the earliest in 35 years.

  • Driven by a pre-cyclonic circulation in the Arabian Sea, this surge came earlier than IMD’s typical June 1 forecast.

  • IMD predicts 6% above-normal rainfall, but its statistical calendar ignores any rain before June 1.

Urban Flood Vulnerability

  • Pre-monsoon rains caused severe waterlogging in cities like Mumbai and Kochi.

  • Municipalities lack effective stormwater drainage systems, which are often blocked or outdated.

  • Encroachment on floodplains and lakes worsens inundation during extreme rainfall events.

Classification and Measurement Issues

  • IMD’s system disregards rainfall before June 1 as ‘official monsoon’, even if it leads to disaster-like conditions.

  • This distorts resource allocation and media attention, delaying preventive urban response.

Disconnect Between Forecasting and Planning

  • IMD’s national-level forecasts are not integrated into localized risk planning by urban local bodies.

  • There’s limited coordination between scientific institutions, municipal corporations, and disaster agencies.

Also Read: The Hindu Editorial 29 May 2025

Way Forward/Recommendation

  • Update IMD’s seasonal framework to reflect climate-induced variability and real-world impact.

  • Establish climate-resilient master plans that align rainfall data with infrastructure thresholds.

  • Institutionalize city-level monsoon preparedness drills with ward-level flood maps.

  • Invest in green infrastructure like rain gardens, bio-swales, and recharge zones for urban areas.

    Practice Question: “Discuss the implications of shifting monsoon patterns on urban infrastructure and disaster preparedness in India.” (GS3, 150 words, 10 marks)

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