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28 April 2025: The Hindu Editorial Analysis

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1. IMF on AI’s energy cost: Economic growth and sustainability can go together

(Source – Page 8, The Hindu International Edition)

Topic: GS Paper 3 – Economy, Science & Technology, Environment.
Context
  • The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has released a report titled Power Hungry: How AI Will Drive Energy Demand”, highlighting that while artificial intelligence (AI) is expected to significantly boost global economic output, it will also lead to increased energy consumption and associated carbon emissions. 
  • The report emphasizes the need for proactive policies to ensure sustainable and equitable AI deployment.​


IMF’s Key Findings on AI’s Economic Impact

  • Global GDP Growth: AI is projected to enhance global GDP by approximately 0.5% annually from 2025 to 2030. ​
  • Uneven Distribution: The economic benefits of AI are unlikely to be evenly distributed across countries and sectors, potentially exacerbating existing inequalities.​

Energy Consumption and Environmental Concerns

  • Electricity Demand: AI-driven activities could triple global electricity usage, reaching around 1,500 terawatt-hours (TWh) by 2030, equivalent to India’s current electricity consumption. 
  • Greenhouse Gas Emissions: Under current policies, AI adoption may lead to a 1.2% increase in global greenhouse gas emissions between 2025 and 2030. ​
  • Social Cost of Emissions: The additional emissions could incur a social cost estimated between $50.7 to $66.3 billion, which is considered minor compared to the anticipated economic gains. ​

Potential for Sustainable AI Deployment

  • Efficiency Gains: AI has the potential to improve energy efficiency and reduce emissions if applied to optimize energy systems, transportation, and industrial processes.​
  • Role of Policy and Investment: The Grantham Research Institute emphasizes that market forces alone are insufficient; proactive government policies and investments are essential to steer AI towards sustainable outcomes. ​
Practice Question: “India’s water crisis is as much a result of mismanagement and policy failure as it is of environmental factors. Critically examine. Also, suggest a multi-pronged strategy for ensuring water security in India.”
(250 words / 15 marks)

Read more – 26 April 2025: The Hindu Editorial Analysis

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